Dear Clients and Friends,
As we close the books on 2025, I find myself reflecting on a year that tested the patience of even the most disciplined investors. The headlines were relentless: geopolitical tensions, central bank pivots, an artificial intelligence frenzy that at times resembled the speculative manias of cycles past. Through it all, our guiding principle remained the same — that the surest path to long-term wealth preservation is the refusal to be rushed by short-term noise.
“The most valuable thing we did for our clients this year was the same thing we do every year: nothing rash.”
Our portfolios ended the year in a position of quiet strength. By maintaining our longstanding allocation discipline — a blend of high-quality fixed income, diversified global equities, and select alternative investments — we were able to participate in the market's gains while limiting exposure to its most speculative excesses. Our equity positions, concentrated in businesses with durable competitive advantages and strong balance sheets, outperformed broader indices on a risk-adjusted basis. Our fixed income holdings, which some questioned during the low-rate environment, proved their worth as volatility returned.
I want to address the question I heard most often this year: “Should we have more exposure to artificial intelligence?” Our answer, as always, is nuanced. We hold meaningful positions in established technology companies that are well-positioned to benefit from AI's development. What we have avoided are the speculative names — companies with extraordinary valuations built on extraordinary promises. History has taught us that transformative technologies create enormous value, but that value accrues unevenly, and often to companies that do not yet exist. We prefer to invest in what we can understand and value with confidence.
Looking ahead to 2026, we see a world that is neither as fragile as the pessimists suggest nor as robust as the optimists hope. Interest rates appear to have found a new equilibrium. Corporate earnings remain healthy in most sectors. Valuations, while elevated in certain pockets, are not broadly unsustainable. We will continue to allocate capital with the same discipline that has defined this firm for nearly four decades — patiently, thoughtfully, and with your family's long-term objectives as our only compass.
As always, I am grateful for the trust you place in us. It is a responsibility we do not take lightly.
With warm regards,
James W. Hargrove